Nur is an associate at Larisa Ortiz Associates
Over the last year we’ve heard story after story report on the closing of large anchor retailers such as Macy’s, Sears, and J.C. Penney and how the trend might result in another wave of regional mall closures. Analysts from across the board are predicting hundreds more shopping malls in the US to shut down as a result of being unable to find enough retailers to replace ones that have gone, leaving millions of square feet of developed but vacant commercial space.
Over the last year we’ve heard story after story report on the closing of large anchor retailers such as Macy’s, Sears, and J.C. Penney and how the trend might result in another wave of regional mall closures. Analysts from across the board are predicting hundreds more shopping malls in the US to shut down as a result of being unable to find enough retailers to replace ones that have gone, leaving millions of square feet of developed but vacant commercial space.
At the same time, we have also seen story after story emerge of
mall owners getting innovative and replacing traditional department stores with
a slew of entertainment uses and non-conventional tenants such as offices and urgent
healthcare clinics.
It is not surprising then that, now more than ever, shopping mall
owners are also going to the extreme of complete overhaul of their properties
to create mixed-use neighborhoods as another solution to save themselves. The
mall-to-mixed use redevelopment movement started more than two decades ago with
the conversion of the Boca Mall in Boca Raton, FL into a mixed-use neighborhood
consisting of residential homes, office spaces, shops, and restaurants. We
first wrote about this transformative project in 2015, along with another
early project Villa Italia in Lakewood, Colorado which was transformed into the
neighborhood of Belmar in 2004. Since then, various other shopping mall owners
have taken the same leap in redeveloping their properties into mixed-use communities.
Today, we take a closer look at two more
recent and still underway projects – City Centre, Houston, Texas and Promenade 2035, San Fernando Valley,
California. We look at what it really
takes to get a giant mall redevelopment to take off.
City Centre, a mixed use urban development with office buildings,
multifamily residential homes, brownstones, hotels, restaurants and retail, and
conference spaces, sits atop the former Town & Country mall on the edge of
metropolitan Houston area. The regional shopping mall which opened in the early
1980s, closed following the departure of anchor department stores J.C.Penney (a story we’ve heard before).
Like any typical mixed-use development, City Centre is centered on
a public square and features a grid-like street network and a
pedestrian-friendly environment. Financing it, however, was not so typical. The
project was developed by Midway, Cos. a real estate investment and development
firm, in partnership with several other companies. Midway Cos had to finance the project by function, identifying separate partners for the
various components of the project, seeing as capital partners were not
comfortable with such a large and risky undertaking.
Financing and structuring such large mixed use developments
continues to be difficult. Rules hindering financing such projects “had their genesis
during the Great Depression or early post war era, and are based on the
obsolete assumption that mixed-use developments are financially riskier than
single-purpose residential developments.”, according to a 2016
Regional Planning Association report. However, with shifting demographics
and market preferences leaning towards connectivity and walkability amongst
both young Millennials and Baby Boomers, single-use projects may in fact become
riskier than ones with higher shares of non-residential uses.
Although not yet expansive and popular yet, the Small Balance Loan program (SBL) by Freddie
Mac, launched in 2014, may be a new and viable financing tool for mall owners
hoping to transform their portfolio into mixed-use communities like CityCentre.
The multifamily housing financial program is a “welcome liberalization in
long-term financing” and is designed to provide fast approval of loans for
projects with “40 percent of their income—or 40 percent of their space—related
to commercial uses”. Thus far, the loans are easiest to get in densely populated
metropolitan areas, however, the SBL program is growing fast and may, in the
future, become an even more useful tool for forward-thinking mall owners.
With Promenade in San Fernando Valley, the challenges facing the
redevelopment of a failed shopping mall were slightly different. Local
community scrutiny has been a real impediment to the project still scheduled to
be completed in 2035. Given that the 43-year old mall had become a huge “drag
on the surrounding neighborhoods” over time, as it became a blighted site
subject to “intense speculation over its future”, community support for such a
radical transformation was not instantaneous and took a lot of grappling. Even
retail tenants were blaming the owner for “allowing the mall to deteriorate to
a mere shadow of its former self”.
In order to maintain the
mixed use redevelopment project’s transparency, the developers, Westfield
Corp, launched a website to seek
local residents’ vision for and needs from the mixed use redevelopment, and
also to better inform locals of
site plans and the sustainability and economics of the project.
Next, to ensure that the mixed-use development remains viable thru
2035, the developers have also ensured that the design of commercial spaces are
on trend with what’s occurring across the industry. With the market understanding that the way
employees and businesses work will continue to evolve, approximately 150,000 SF
of office space will be designed as creative workspaces that include a mix of
indoor/outdoor office spaces, co-working spaces, traditional office suites,
gallery spaces, and about 60,000SF will consist of work/live studios.
Indeed, mixed use mall transformations as described above may bring
several advantages to the local community. From diversifying housing types for
existing and future residents to built-in residential market demand for retailers
and reduced car trips between work and amenities, the mixed use mall
transformation could act as a catalyst for further reinvestment and development
in the area. However, mall owners hoping to transform their properties with
other partners need to ensure they’re not “dictating supply rather than
responding to demand”. As demonstrated by Promenade 2035, market analysis is
crucial early on in the planning process to determine what types and how much
residential, office and retail space can be viably supported by the local
market.
In addition, design experts in commercial spaces need to be
engaged to ensure the mall transformations or new developments can accommodate the
types of operators determined by a preceding market analysis.
Community engagement throughout the planning process is also key
and although many mall developers today are not known for such outreach work,
it is important they begin to take on this responsibility with the help of
local non-profits because community needs are often nuanced. Conversations with
local stakeholders may not only encourage public buy-in but also bring to light
different kinds of needs that may not necessarily come up in strict market
analyses, including social service, healthcare, public space needs, and
architectural preferences. Sometimes, “communities may not be ready to embrace
the densities and design standards required to accomplish successful mixed use
neighborhoods”, according to Robert Gibbs a retail planning expert, so the open
dialogue between mall owner/ developer and the local community can serve to
build an understanding around such concerns and guide any concessions that need
to be made.
Although the mall to mixed use trend is becoming popular amongst
commercial real estate developers, it certainly is no mean feat. But it is one
of the solutions that may help us transform the failed suburban landscape across
the country and with stronger partnerships, such projects may be easier to
accomplish in many more places.
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